Location Expansion Scenario Planner methodology

expectedNewUnits = min(monthly capacity, expected monthly demand × demand realisation rate)

displacedUnits = min(risk-adjusted new units, cannibalised existing units)

monthlyIncrementalContribution = (risk-adjusted new units − displaced units) × contribution per unit − monthly fixed cost

paybackMonths = setup cost / positive monthly incremental contribution

capacityUtilisation = risk-adjusted new units / monthly capacity

Money inputs and outputs use the currency selected in the scenario without changing the canonical methodology. Rates, margins, utilisation and buffers are entered as percentages and converted to decimal values for calculation.

• All inputs must be finite and remain inside the visible non-negative validation boundaries.
• Capacity and demand fields that represent physical units reject fractional values where the engine requires whole units.
• Rates remain inside the closed range from 0% to 100%.
• Unreachable contribution, crossover or payback thresholds return an explicit unavailable state rather than Infinity.
• Option comparisons reject an infeasible option when its entered capacity is below the required workload.

Setup cost minimum

setupCost ≥ 0 currency units/one-off location setup, ex tax — A lower value is rejected before calculation.

Setup cost maximum

setupCost ≤ 10,000,000 currency units/one-off location setup, ex tax — A higher value is rejected before calculation.

Monthly fixed cost minimum

monthlyFixedCost ≥ 0 currency units/month, ex tax — A lower value is rejected before calculation.

Monthly fixed cost maximum

monthlyFixedCost ≤ 10,000,000 currency units/month, ex tax — A higher value is rejected before calculation.

Monthly capacity minimum

monthlyCapacityUnits ≥ 0 units/month — A lower value is rejected before calculation.

Monthly capacity maximum

monthlyCapacityUnits ≤ 100,000,000 units/month — A higher value is rejected before calculation.

Expected monthly demand minimum

expectedMonthlyDemandUnits ≥ 0 units/month — A lower value is rejected before calculation.

Expected monthly demand maximum

expectedMonthlyDemandUnits ≤ 100,000,000 units/month — A higher value is rejected before calculation.

Contribution per unit minimum

contributionPerUnit ≥ 0 currency units/unit, ex tax — A lower value is rejected before calculation.

Contribution per unit maximum

contributionPerUnit ≤ 10,000,000 currency units/unit, ex tax — A higher value is rejected before calculation.

Cannibalised existing units minimum

cannibalisedExistingUnits ≥ 0 units/month — A lower value is rejected before calculation.

Cannibalised existing units maximum

cannibalisedExistingUnits ≤ 100,000,000 units/month — A higher value is rejected before calculation.

Demand realisation minimum

riskRealisationRate ≥ 0 decimal fraction of expected monthly demand (1 = 100%) — A lower value is rejected before calculation.

Demand realisation maximum

riskRealisationRate ≤ 1 decimal fraction of expected monthly demand (1 = 100%) — A higher value is rejected before calculation.

• All operating volumes, rates, workload, capacity, time, cost and contribution values are supplied by the user.
• Money inputs use one consistent ex-tax basis and every record refers to the same operating period.
• Demand realisation, recovery, hours saved and expected unit rates are scenarios, not forecasts or benchmarks.
• Committed sunk cost is disclosed but excluded from make, buy, outsource and hire incremental economics.
• The shared engine retains raw precision and display formatting never feeds back into calculation.

This planner has no current policy-data dependency. Its commercial assumptions are user supplied. Registered family-level regression suites exercise the shared business-logic engine and worked-result reconciliation.

• Results depend on complete and comparable incremental cost, capacity and operating records.
• The model does not forecast demand, service quality, employee performance, supplier reliability or disruption duration.
• A positive result or short payback does not establish implementation feasibility or guarantee a commercial outcome.
• The planner does not replace operational, accounting, tax, legal or financial advice.

This is educational decision support, not tax, accounting, legal or financial advice. Check the treatment of your actual transactions under the rules that apply to your business and seek qualified advice where appropriate.

Registered family-level suites test formula invariants and example reconciliation; the release ledger records that coverage without claiming a separate oracle for every line of public copy. There is no official threshold or benchmark to refresh for this planner. Commercial inputs remain user-supplied because they vary by business and contract.

1. 2026-07-31: Initial public release of the planner and methodology after pre-launch calculation, content, source and interaction review.