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Methodology

Price Increase Profit Impact Planner methodology

Stress-test a price increase against volume loss.

Educational only: Business decision support, not accounting, tax or legal advice.

Privacy: Calculations run locally; Margin101 does not receive your commercial inputs.

Update policy: Reviewed when formulas or official dependencies change.

Scope: Market-neutral small-business planning using your own assumptions.

1. Formulas and units

Elasticity Profit Delta Ex Tax
elasticityProfitDeltaExTax = proposed unit contribution ร— elasticity volume โˆ’ baseline contribution

Where

baselineVolume
Baseline volume (whole product units/comparison period)Source: Business record
elasticity
Demand elasticity (proportional volume change / proportional price change)Source: User assumption
elasticityProfitDeltaExTax
Elasticity Profit Delta Ex Tax (currency units, ex tax)Source: Calculated output
baselineContributionExTax
Baseline Contribution Ex Tax (currency units, ex tax)Source: Calculated output
elasticityVolume
Elasticity Volume (operational units)Source: Calculated output
Baseline Contribution Ex Tax
baselineContributionExTax = (current price โˆ’ variable cost) ร— baseline volume

Where

currentPriceExTax
Current price (currency units/product unit, ex tax)Source: Business record
variableCostExTax
Variable cost (currency units/product unit, ex tax)Source: Business record
baselineVolume
Baseline volume (whole product units/comparison period)Source: Business record
baselineContributionExTax
Baseline Contribution Ex Tax (currency units, ex tax)Source: Calculated output
Maximum Tolerable Volume Loss Rate
maximumTolerableVolumeLossRate = 1 โˆ’ baseline unit contribution รท proposed unit contribution

Where

baselineVolume
Baseline volume (whole product units/comparison period)Source: Business record
baselineContributionExTax
Baseline Contribution Ex Tax (currency units, ex tax)Source: Calculated output
maximumTolerableVolumeLossRate
Maximum Tolerable Volume Loss Rate (decimal rate)Source: Calculated output
Elasticity Volume
elasticityVolume = max(0, baseline volume ร— (1 + elasticity ร— price change rate))

Where

baselineVolume
Baseline volume (whole product units/comparison period)Source: Business record
elasticity
Demand elasticity (proportional volume change / proportional price change)Source: User assumption
elasticityVolume
Elasticity Volume (operational units)Source: Calculated output

Money inputs and outputs use the currency selected in the scenario without changing the canonical methodology. Rates, margins, utilisation and buffers are entered as percentages and converted to decimal values for calculation.

2. Worked example

Input assumptions

The worked rows below come directly from the registered engine and visible default fixture.

Calculation and outputs

Example

The worked rows below come directly from the registered engine and visible default fixture.

Elasticity Profit Delta Ex Tax
3,760 currency units
Baseline Contribution Ex Tax
45,000 currency units
Maximum Tolerable Volume Loss Rate
15.1%
Elasticity Volume
920

The exact engine-derived outputs are shown in the labelled rows below.

Interpretation

The scenario result compares the proposed price gain with the explicit demand response entered by the user.

Scenario study: price movement and contribution

Why a 1% price change need not mean a 1% contribution change

Hold volume and unit cost constant only for this bridge, then compare the currency movement with baseline contribution.

Input basis

  • Fictional revenue before indirect tax: 100,000 CU.
  • Fictional included variable cost at unchanged volume: 60,000 CU.
  • Price-only scenario: revenue rises 1% to 101,000 CU.
RowIntermediate calculationResult
Baseline contribution100,000 โˆ’ 60,00040,000 CU
Scenario contribution101,000 โˆ’ 60,00041,000 CU
Contribution change41,000 โˆ’ 40,0001,000 CU
Relative contribution change1,000 รท 40,0002.5%

Interpretation

The 1% revenue movement produces a 2.5% contribution movement under this fixed-volume, fixed-cost scenario because the change is measured against the smaller baseline contribution.

Boundaries and next step

  • Constant volume is a scenario boundary, not a demand forecast.
  • The calculation does not say that the price change should be made or that customers will accept it.

Continue with Price Increase Profit Impact Planner or price-rise decision guide.

3. Validation and boundary checks

  • All inputs must be finite and within the visible validation boundaries.
  • Rates use decimal values below 100%; whole-unit thresholds round upward only where the engine names that rule.
  • All compared monetary inputs use one consistent ex-tax basis and planning period.

4. Assumptions and source classification

  • Every cost, price, fee and volume is supplied by the user; no market benchmark is inferred.
  • Indirect tax is excluded from retained commercial economics unless a dedicated input explicitly models it.
  • The engine retains full precision and display formatting never feeds back into calculation.

This planner has no current policy-data dependency. Its commercial assumptions are user supplied. Registered family-level regression suites exercise the shared business-logic engine and worked-result reconciliation.

5. Limitations

  • The model does not forecast demand, competitor response, supplier negotiation outcomes or capacity.
  • It does not replace accounting, tax, legal or financial advice.

This is educational decision support, not tax, accounting, legal or financial advice. Check the treatment of your actual transactions under the rules that apply to your business and seek qualified advice where appropriate.

6. Update and evidence policy

Registered family-level suites test formula invariants and example reconciliation; the release ledger records that coverage without claiming a separate oracle for every line of public copy. There is no official threshold or benchmark to refresh for this planner. Commercial inputs remain user-supplied because they vary by business and contract.

Change history

  1. : Initial public release of the planner and methodology after pre-launch calculation, content, source and interaction review.

Guides to interpret the decision and its assumptions.

Return to the planner