Skip to main content

Methodology

Inventory Funding Gap Planner methodology

Roll explicit supplier payments, logistics cash outflows and customer collections forward by date to identify the peak inventory funding gap and recovery timing.

Educational only: Business decision support, not accounting, tax or legal advice.

Privacy: Calculations run locally; Margin101 does not receive your commercial inputs.

Update policy: Reviewed when formulas or official dependencies change.

Scope: Market-neutral small-business planning using your own assumptions.

1. Formulas and units

Event net cash flow
netCashFlow = customerCollections − supplierPayments − logisticsAndOtherOutflows

Where

supplierPayments
Supplier payments (currency units)Source: User assumption
logisticsAndOtherOutflows
Logistics and other inventory cash outflows (currency units)Source: User assumption
customerCollections
Customer collections (currency units)Source: User assumption
netCashFlow
Event net cash flow (currency units)Source: Calculated output
Cumulative funding position
cumulativeFundingPosition = priorCumulativeFundingPosition + netCashFlow

Where

netCashFlow
Event net cash flow (currency units)Source: Calculated output
cumulativeFundingPosition
Cumulative funding position (currency units)Source: Calculated output
Funding gap
fundingGap = max(0, −cumulativeFundingPosition)

Where

cumulativeFundingPosition
Cumulative funding position (currency units)Source: Calculated output
fundingGap
Event funding gap (currency units)Source: Calculated output
Peak funding gap
peakFundingGap = max(fundingGap)

Where

fundingGap
Event funding gap (currency units)Source: Calculated output
peakFundingGap
Peak funding gap (currency units)Source: Calculated output
First funding-gap date
firstFundingGapDate = first(date where fundingGap > 0)

Where

date
Event date (ISO calendar date)Source: User assumption
fundingGap
Event funding gap (currency units)Source: Calculated output
firstFundingGapDate
First funding-gap date (ISO date or not reached)Source: Calculated output
Peak funding-gap date
peakFundingGapDate = first(date where fundingGap = peakFundingGap)

Where

date
Event date (ISO calendar date)Source: User assumption
fundingGap
Event funding gap (currency units)Source: Calculated output
peakFundingGap
Peak funding gap (currency units)Source: Calculated output
firstFundingGapDate
First funding-gap date (ISO date or not reached)Source: Calculated output
peakFundingGapDate
Peak funding-gap date (ISO date or not reached)Source: Calculated output
First recovery after peak
firstRecoveryDate = first date after the peak where cumulativeFundingPosition ≥ 0

Where

date
Event date (ISO calendar date)Source: User assumption
cumulativeFundingPosition
Cumulative funding position (currency units)Source: Calculated output
firstRecoveryDate
First recovery date after peak (ISO date or not reached)Source: Calculated output
Closing funding position
closingFundingPosition = cumulativeFundingPosition on the final entered event

Where

cumulativeFundingPosition
Cumulative funding position (currency units)Source: Calculated output
closingFundingPosition
Closing funding position (currency units)Source: Calculated output

Money inputs and outputs use the currency selected in the scenario without changing the canonical methodology. Rates, margins, utilisation and buffers are entered as percentages and converted to decimal values for calculation.

2. Worked example

Input assumptions

The worked rows below come directly from the registered engine and visible default fixture.

Calculation and outputs

Example

The worked rows below come directly from the registered engine and visible default fixture.

2026-01-31 net cash flow
-700 currency units
2026-01-31 cumulative funding position
-700 currency units
2026-01-31 funding gap
700 currency units
2026-02-28 net cash flow
-100 currency units
2026-02-28 cumulative funding position
-800 currency units
2026-02-28 funding gap
800 currency units
2026-03-31 net cash flow
900 currency units
2026-03-31 cumulative funding position
100 currency units
2026-03-31 funding gap
0 currency units
Peak inventory funding gap
800 currency units
First funding-gap date
2026-01-31
Peak funding-gap date
2026-02-28
First recovery date after peak
2026-03-31
Closing funding position
100 currency units

The exact engine-derived outputs are shown in the labelled rows below.

Interpretation

The result rolls only the dated cash events you enter; it does not forecast sales, collections or supplier behaviour.

3. Validation and boundary checks

  • The collection must contain between 1 and 60 uniquely identified cash events.
  • Dates must be real ISO calendar dates, unique and strictly chronological.
  • Supplier payments, logistics outflows and customer collections must be finite and non-negative.
  • Recovery is reported only after the peak gap and only when the cumulative position returns to zero or above.

4. Assumptions and source classification

  • All balances, rates, timing and coverage thresholds are user-supplied records or explicit assumptions.
  • No lender covenant, market rate, policy threshold or future cash flow is inferred.
  • Supplier payments, inventory cash outflows and customer collections are explicit user-entered scenarios.
  • Dates must be real, unique and strictly chronological; no collection or demand timing is forecast.

This planner has no current policy-data dependency. Its commercial assumptions are user supplied. Registered family-level regression suites exercise the shared business-logic engine and worked-result reconciliation.

5. Limitations

  • The model excludes lender fees, taxes, covenant definitions and lender-specific credit assessments.
  • It does not replace accounting, tax, legal or financial advice.

This is educational decision support, not tax, accounting, legal or financial advice. Check the treatment of your actual transactions under the rules that apply to your business and seek qualified advice where appropriate.

6. Update and evidence policy

Registered family-level suites test formula invariants and example reconciliation; the release ledger records that coverage without claiming a separate oracle for every line of public copy. There is no official threshold or benchmark to refresh for this planner. Commercial inputs remain user-supplied because they vary by business and contract.

Change history

  1. : Initial public release of the Inventory Funding Gap planner and methodology.

Guides to interpret the decision and its assumptions.

Return to the planner